• Why Is Florida State Only a 7-Point Favorite at Virginia? Let’s Break It Down.

    Florida State enters tonight’s matchup ranked No. 8 in the AP Poll, riding high after a dominant start to the season. They lead the nation in scoring at 58 points per game, and their offense ranks in the top 10 across nearly every metric—except passing, where they average 265.7 yards per game, just 81st nationally. That stat tells the story: FSU relies heavily on its ground game and the dynamic playmaking of quarterback Tommy Castellanos, a physical force who powers a rushing attack averaging 363 yards per game, 4th in the country.

    Defensively, the Seminoles are stout—11th in total yards allowed, giving up just 4.2 yards per play. However, they struggle to generate consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks and are prone to costly mistakes, averaging 44.7 penalty yards per game.

    Virginia, meanwhile, is unranked but dangerous. They’re at home, hungry for a signature win, and they hold a clear edge in the passing game—313 yards per game, top 15 nationally. While their rushing attack isn’t as explosive (251 yards per game), their offense is balanced and efficient. Defensively, they allow just 213.3 passing yards per game, and they’ve shown discipline with only 31.5 penalty yards per game.

    So why the tight spread? Because Virginia has the formula to make this uncomfortable for FSU:

    • Play a clean, disciplined game
    • Leverage their strong pass defense
    • Use home-field energy to control tempo
    • Capitalize on FSU’s penalty issues and lack of pressure

    Prediction: If Florida State plays clean, pressures the quarterback, and shows the physical dominance we saw against Alabama, they win. If not, Virginia has every chance to shock the nation. This game will be physical, explosive, and closer than the rankings suggest.

    Final Score: Florida State 34, Virginia 21 The Seminoles prove Alabama wasn’t a fluke.

  • With week 5 shaping up to be a huge weekend we break down the big games and give our takes.

    Notre Dame vs Arkansas: The key in the game will be stopping the run on defense for Ark that means slowing down Jeremiyah Love , one of the best running backs in the nation coming into Fayetteville with an Arkansas team who struggle to slow the run against Memphis and Ole Miss. Can Sam Pittman keep his team bought in and defeat the runner up National Champion at Home? Notre Dames Defense has struggled since the DC change in the off season and Arkansass Taylen Green could be one the best Athletes in the Nation. With Arkansas looking for vengeance and ND chasing a big win this game shapes up to be a great one. Arkansas is a 4.5 point under dog at home against a number 22 ranked Notre Dame. I am taking Arkansas to win but not cover i think this comes down to a physical assault smash mouth on the offensive side of the ball and Taylen Green leads Arkansas to an AP win. Jot me down at 23-20 WOO PIG.

    LSU vs Ole Miss: Brian Kelly’s LSU Tigers are going into Vaught Hemingway for a historic rivalry game. LSU is coming off a win vs SELU , LSU may have one of the if no the best defense in the country , but can they get the run game and offense going? Garret Nussmeier has been playing less 100% is he healed in time to take on the Rebels? The run game will be the difference in the game. Ole Misses Defense is bottom tier in the conference vs the run. Ole Miss have given up large chunk plays but not many TD. The Defense held stronger against the Tulane Green wave. On the opposite of the they have Lacy a dynamic play maker at the running back position, and don’t let the back up Trinidad Chambliss fool you he is a threat, with over 300 passing yards and over 100 rushing yards in the last game LSU has not faced an Offense quite this good yet. This will come down to nail biter like always but i am taking Ole Miss to win and cover. Give me 23-10 Rebels.

    Texas A&M vs Auburn: Texas A&M is coming of a Bye Week and Auburn is coming off licking its wounds against Oklahoma. Oklahoma set a single game sack record vs Hugh Freezes Auburn tigers and on paper Texas A&M defense is ranked higher. That’s going to be the key to this game, can Auburns line give Jackson Arnold time to go through his progressions and hit some of his elite receivers. Marcel Reed could give the tiger defense a lot of problems with a strong and accurate arm and legs he is a dual threat. This game to me is an easy pick we are looking at a better defense a QB not playing with a broken hand. With the other team struggling to find rhythm and consistency across all functions. Texas A&M doesn’t only win they cover at home. Put me down for 27-14 Aggies.

    Tennessee vs Mississippi State: You could say this one would be an easy pick if you look at last years stats, a playoff caliber team vs a team with no SEC wins. But in the words of a legend not so fast my friend, you would be wrong. We have a 3-1 15 Tennessee going to see a 4-0 Mississippi State at Davis Wade. Mississippi State shocked the nation when they beat number 12 Arizona State in week 2 and they have the audacity to keep winning. Though not recognized by the AP poll. Mississippi State comes in this game with something to prove. Tennessee has everything to lose , coming off a devastating loss to the Georgia Bulldogs , Tennessee is ready to make an example out of someone and show they still has what it takes to be a playoff contender. Mississippi State is opening up with SEC play this weekend with a hard nosed blue collard team not scared to just play you for four hard quarters. Mississippi state only giving up 4.28 yards per play is a factor in this game. Tennessee will be the biggest test they have had yet. Can you hear that? That’s the sound of cowbells! Sign me up for 37-30 game with the Bulldogs on top.

    Alabama vs Georgia: Lets start this one off with pure Analytics Georgia is 1-7 vs Alabama in the last 10 years . Some curses continue no matter coach conference schedule. Ty Simpson has been called the most dynamic QB by Kirby Smart. Though Kirby has no slouch in Gunner Stockton. Over all rating favor the Crimson Tide with Alabama total offensive score at 19th and Defense at 27th, Georgia ranks 24th in Offense and 39th in Defense. Does Kirby get it done at home? Unfortunate for the Dawgs I think history holds here at 41-30 Roll Tide.

    Kentucky vs South Carolina: Battle of the warm seats, and two different personalities at head coach. Mark Stoops is kicking going to Williams-Brice Stadium this Saturday in hopes to preserve his role. Kentucky started the season luke warm vs Toledo at home. Poor quarterback play led them to letting ole miss come back multiple TDs to win and they handled an Eastern Michigan team. On the other hand South Carolina are 0-2 in conference and hungry for their first win. With a QB who was a Heisman hopeful at the start of the year LaNorris Sellers can not do it on his on. USC is going to have to put together a full game to beat this Kentucky team, and cool off Shane Beamers seat. I think this game is going to be a slugfest with enough big plays to keep you watching. I think those big plays roll USC way, I am no birdman but give the Gamecocks 27-14 at home.

  • JockItch Sports is run by a group of friends who could never find the right scratch to the college football itch. On this page be ready for hot takes, wild theories and sure fire locks. With expansive knowledge of the game. Three former College Football players and Friends put together their thoughts , ideas, and predictions.